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Commission sees continued threat of fuel ethanol import surge to the EU

Commission sees continued threat of fuel ethanol import surge to the EU
The Pannonia Ethanol plant in Dunaföldár, Hungary is the largest US-style “corn-to-ethanol” facility in Europe. Commissioned in May 2012, the plant uses an ICM closed-loop dry mill processing technology. It has an annual capacity to convert around 650 000 tonnes of feed maize (corn) into 280 000 m3 ethanol, 160 000 tonnes of dried distillers grains and solubles (DDGS), 40 000 tonnes of wet distillers grains and solubles (WDGS) and 5 000 tonnes of corn oil. The plant is the first facility for Ethanol Europe Renewables Ltd and was built by US ethanol plant designers and builders Fagen Inc., its first overseas installation. Fagen are partners in Ethanol Europe Renewables.

The European Commission has extended trade surveillance measures on imports of fuel ethanol into the EU from several countries, acknowledging the potential for a surge that could threaten the European renewable ethanol industry. Published on September 14, 2026, the Commission’s decision acknowledges the threat of a surge in fuel ethanol imports into the EU, highlighting recent dramatic increases in imports from the United States and Brazil as "worthy of continued close monitoring."

The Commission’s decision ensures imports remain under monthly statistical scrutiny and enables rapid reaction should import volumes threaten further injury to the European renewable ethanol industry.

The Commission’s action confirms that the EU understands the strategic importance of a domestic ethanol industry. At a time when policymakers are trying to boost Europe’s competitiveness, energy independence, food security and industrial autonomy, we need to make sure that ‘Made in Europe’ solutions such as renewable ethanol are not drowned out, said Laurent Donceel, Secretary General of ePURE, the European Renewable Ethanol Association.

EU imports of renewable fuel ethanol have risen sharply in recent years, prompting the Commission, following a request from ePURE, to introduce a dedicated surveillance tool to monitor import trends.

First monitoring started in November 2020 for one year, and second monitoring started in September 2023 for three years; the new decision extends the surveillance for an additional three years, until September 2029.

The Commission found that EU imports from all origins have continued to surge from 621,954 tonnes in 2023 to 967,354 tonnes in 2025, representing a 55 percent increase.

As the number one exporting country, the United States represents 44 percent of total renewable ethanol imports in 2025, followed by Canada, Ukraine, and the UK.

US exports went up from 114,000 tonnes in 2023 to 423,000 tonnes in 2025. Brazil’s exports to the EU continued to show an increase from 25,000 tonnes in 2023 to 46,000 tonnes in 2025.

The Commission also noted the vast spare capacities in both the US (12.5 million tonnes) and Brazil (16 million tonnes), while the EU’s consumption was around 5 million tonnes in 2025.

This combined excess capacity of over 28 million tonnes is potentially available for export, therefore capable of covering more than 5.5 times the EU demand.

The Commission investigation found that several economic indicators have been deteriorating, showing signs of injury suffered by the sampled EU producers.

The Commission concluded that it was in the EU’s interest that imports of bioethanol should continue to be subject to retrospective EU surveillance until 2029.

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